Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 1.624392 1.763576 1.911158 2.079639 2.267069 2.469645 2.705777
2026-01-11 1.432072 1.625760 1.842956 2.105888 2.417338 2.776673 3.225781
2026-01-18 1.303175 1.528756 1.792440 2.126154 2.541116 3.045265 3.712047
2026-01-25 1.200689 1.445528 1.741348 2.129447 2.631717 3.268951 4.153560
2026-02-01 1.098226 1.349909 1.662213 2.084151 2.648582 3.391219 4.465729
2026-02-08 1.019767 1.276372 1.602314 2.054294 2.677122 3.524142 4.797418
2026-02-15 0.959340 1.220543 1.559443 2.040742 2.722461 3.678769 5.169559
2026-02-22 0.927435 1.199228 1.559395 2.083310 2.846391 3.951468 5.740676
2026-03-01 0.880470 1.154016 1.522988 2.070714 2.887728 4.103913 6.139433
2026-03-08 0.833007 1.104965 1.477612 2.040931 2.899479 4.209933 6.471384
2026-03-15 0.778740 1.043288 1.410556 1.974247 2.849088 4.213182 6.629948
2026-03-22 0.751644 1.018483 1.394535 1.981924 2.912976 4.401466 7.122181
2026-03-29 0.729366 0.999950 1.387260 2.003412 3.001965 4.641318 7.739978
2026-04-05 0.709214 0.983393 1.381810 2.027057 3.095841 4.897384 8.419483
2026-04-12 0.689396 0.966159 1.374099 2.046095 3.182723 5.148157 9.119899
2026-04-19 0.667116 0.944006 1.357450 2.049177 3.241948 5.353978 9.756865
2026-04-26 0.635475 0.906117 1.314396 2.005986 3.217082 5.403051 10.077332
2026-05-03 0.609468 0.875705 1.281496 1.977515 3.215637 5.494612 10.497320
2026-05-10 0.588650 0.852419 1.258708 1.964591 3.240794 5.638311 11.048574
2026-05-17 0.580600 0.848717 1.267005 2.005181 3.366547 5.989351 12.115756
2026-05-24 0.562115 0.827643 1.245969 1.993172 3.392617 6.142554 12.743949
2026-05-31 0.541442 0.802242 1.216658 1.964771 3.385170 6.225770 13.214433
2026-06-07 0.515064 0.766697 1.169075 1.901166 3.305272 6.150317 13.280348